Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-3
Lanús vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
LAN
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DYJ
3 - 0
LAN
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
OLI
58%
25%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
4 - 2
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HUR
4 - 0
LAN
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATL
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
LAN
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |