Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
Lanús vs Godoy Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 0
TIG
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 0
LAN
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 0
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 1
LAN
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 2
LAN
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Godoy Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 0
BAN
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 1
GOD
35%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 0
GOD
37%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 0
ALB
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |