Lanús vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
SLO
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 0
BAR
85%
12%
4%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 2
NOB
61%
23%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
CAU
0 - 1
LAN
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 0
OLI
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
BAR
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAD
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
76%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |