Lanús vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
LAN
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
LAN
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
ARG
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
IND
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ARG
2 - 1
EST
37%
30%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
RAF
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 2
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
ALB
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |