Lanús vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
COL
3 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2000 |
LAN
1 - 0
CEN
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
INS
2 - 0
LAN
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
LAN
0 - 1
SLO
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2000 |
FER
0 - 7
LAN
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
EST
1 - 1
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2000 |
CEN
0 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |