Lanús vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
LAN
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 3
SMA
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
EME
27%
29%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |