Lanús vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
JUN
42%
29%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
LAN
3 - 0
SAC
80%
16%
4%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 0
ATT
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TIG
0 - 0
LAN
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 2
DHA
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DHA
1 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 0
DHA
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
DHA
1 - 0
SLP
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DHA
1 - 1
DPR
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |