Lanús vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
DHA
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
JUN
42%
29%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
LAN
3 - 0
SAC
80%
16%
4%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 0
ATT
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 0
DYJ
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
DYJ
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
DYJ
2 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
DYJ
1 - 0
MIT
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
DYJ
2 - 0
ARS
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |