Lanús vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 3
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
NOB
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAN
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOC
3 - 1
LAN
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
61%
23%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
EST
36%
30%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
BEL
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |