Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-0
Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
LAN
1 - 2
CEN
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
NOB
0 - 1
LAN
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 1
LAN
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LAN
0 - 2
RIV
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
ARS
57%
25%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ARG
0 - 1
VEL
25%
27%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
RAC
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
NOB
3 - 0
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |