Lanús vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
CCP
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
CAL
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
QUI
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
LAN
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 0
ALB
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
TIG
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
COL
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |