Lanús vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LAN
3 - 2
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARG
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SLO
4 - 3
LAN
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
UCE
2 - 0
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
BOC
3 - 0
CFC
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BOC
3 - 1
EST
81%
15%
4%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BOC
0 - 2
ARS
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BOC
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
IND
0 - 1
BOC
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |