Lanús vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 1
LAN
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
NOB
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
LAN
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 0
ATT
64%
23%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
0 - 1
LAN
16%
25%
60%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
CAU
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 1
BOC
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 0
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 0
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |