Lanús vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 0
LAN
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 2
DYJ
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 1
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
CCS
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
DYJ
0 - 2
BEL
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
4 - 3
BOC
37%
30%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
BEL
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
BEL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |