Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 6-2
Lanús vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
BAN
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CDN
1 - 3
LAN
17%
25%
59%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 0
CHI
70%
21%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
LAN
33%
27%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 1
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TEM
2 - 1
BEL
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
OLI
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
LAN
33%
27%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |