Lanús vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
RAC
1 - 1
LAN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 3
NOB
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
GLP
1 - 3
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
LAN
3 - 2
CAU
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
ARG
1 - 1
LAN
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 2
HUR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ALM
4 - 0
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 1
RAC
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
NOB
4 - 1
BEL
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |