Lanús vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BLO
1 - 4
LAN
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
NOB
1 - 1
LAN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
LAN
39%
25%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
LAN
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 2
LIB
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ATT
1 - 1
ARG
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
BOC
0 - 0
ATT
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
ATT
0 - 0
HUR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
IND
3 - 1
ATT
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATT
0 - 1
SLO
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |