Lanús vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 0
OHI
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 2
LAN
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
CFC
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
CFC
0 - 2
LAN
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NOB
2 - 2
LAN
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 1
ALB
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 3
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
RAF
1 - 1
ARS
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |