Lanús vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
CAU
0 - 0
LAN
28%
31%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 1
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 1
ALB
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 0
LAN
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 2
QUI
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 0
IND
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 1
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
RAF
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 3
RAF
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RAF
1 - 0
CAU
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |