Lanús vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
EST
5 - 0
LAN
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 0
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 2
LAN
18%
25%
58%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 0
ARG
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 1
LAN
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 0
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
ALM
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 0
ARS
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
RAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |