Lanús vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
HUR
1 - 3
LAN
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
LAN
3 - 4
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
LAN
4 - 3
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
VEL
4 - 0
LAN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 2
SLO
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 2
ARS
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 0
BAN
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
CAU
0 - 3
ARS
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |