Lanús vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
LAN
0 - 0
NOB
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 2
LAN
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LAN
0 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 1
LAN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 0
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
NOB
2 - 1
ALM
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 2
ARS
31%
29%
41%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
EST
3 - 2
ALM
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |