CA Huracán vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
SLM
0 - 1
HUR
24%
21%
56%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1974 |
IND
3 - 0
HUR
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 7
HUR
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
HUR
3 - 1
VEL
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 1
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1974 |
OLI
0 - 2
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |