CA Huracán vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DES
0 - 1
HUR
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
HUR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 1
CEN
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATT
2 - 0
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 2
BER
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
EXC
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
CCO
32%
31%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
DOC
2 - 0
EXC
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
ARM
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |