Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 6-2
CA Huracán vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 0
SLO
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
HUR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 5
HUR
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 0
LAN
32%
26%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 1
GOD
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
TIG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 5
HUR
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 1
CAU
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |