Boca Juniors vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
QUI
0 - 3
BOC
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 1
ALI
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
5 - 2
MIR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 2
MIR
62%
18%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 0
LAR
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
5 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |