Boca Juniors vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 1
CEN
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ARG
1 - 3
BOC
25%
25%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
BOC
6 - 1
LAN
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 1
BOC
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
UCH
0 - 1
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSD
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 1
BOC
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |