Boca Juniors vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
BOC
1 - 1
LAN
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
BLO
1 - 0
BOC
25%
23%
52%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2000 |
RAC
1 - 1
BOC
25%
24%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2000 |
IND
1 - 3
BOC
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1999 |
BOC
0 - 0
TAL
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
UCO
1 - 3
BVS
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
BVS
2 - 2
UCO
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 3
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1999 |
SPC
1 - 1
UCO
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |