Boca Juniors vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 2
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
PSG
1 - 3
BOC
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1981 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BOC
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BOC
1 - 1
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1981 |
CEN
1 - 0
BOC
46%
27%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1981 |
CAU
2 - 0
EST
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1981 |
ARG
2 - 1
CAU
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1981 |
CAU
1 - 1
VEL
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1981 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAU
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1981 |
CAU
2 - 0
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |