Boca Juniors vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
2 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
2 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
TAL
1 - 0
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 3
BOC
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
2 - 0
DCM
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
UNI
4 - 0
SPC
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1989 |
SPC
1 - 2
RAC
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1989 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOC
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1984 |
ULA
2 - 1
SPC
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |