Boca Juniors vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOC
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
BOC
0 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
BOC
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 1
BOC
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 1
GLP
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 2
SMA
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
SMA
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 0
VEL
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 1
SMA
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |