Boca Juniors vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ARG
3 - 2
BOC
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
BOC
0 - 0
CEN
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 2
BOC
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LAN
0 - 0
BOC
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 0
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 2
SLO
25%
29%
47%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ARG
0 - 1
SMA
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
SMA
0 - 2
SMA
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
INS
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
TAL
1 - 2
SMA
32%
30%
39%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |