Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 0
CEN
77%
17%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
4 - 2
RAC
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 0
BOC
36%
29%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 2
BEL
54%
27%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
60%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
GOD
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 0
SLO
32%
31%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 2
SLO
40%
31%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
IND
80%
15%
5%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |