Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
COL
66%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 4
BOC
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 2
RAC
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 2
BOC
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 2
SLO
44%
28%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 2
CAU
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
SLO
26%
29%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 2
BOC
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
SLO
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |