Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
BOC
1 - 1
RAC
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
LAN
3 - 1
BOC
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1996 |
BOC
2 - 3
COL
73%
16%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1996 |
EST
2 - 3
BOC
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
ARG
0 - 2
BOC
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
SLO
0 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1996 |
HUR
1 - 1
SLO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1996 |
SLO
0 - 1
BAN
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
CEN
3 - 1
SLO
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
SLO
0 - 1
BAN
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |