Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
GIM
1 - 2
BOC
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ARG
0 - 1
BOC
32%
29%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
BOC
2 - 3
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
BOC
1 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
KOR
1 - 2
BOC
59%
24%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SLO
5 - 2
NOB
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
LAN
1 - 3
SLO
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
SLO
1 - 1
FER
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
PLA
2 - 3
SLO
28%
28%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
SLO
5 - 0
HUR
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |