Boca Juniors vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
FER
1 - 0
BOC
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 0
DEF
82%
12%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 1
HUR
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
COL
1 - 1
BOC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1976 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
IND
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |