Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 5-5
Boca Juniors vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1989 |
PLA
1 - 1
BOC
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOC
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
BOC
1 - 2
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
3 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
EST
1 - 2
BOC
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOC
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1989 |
AME
5 - 4
OLI
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
COB
31%
32%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
COB
2 - 0
OLI
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
COL
2 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |