Boca Juniors vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
OLI
1 - 0
BOC
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1962 |
BOC
4 - 0
EST
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
QUI
0 - 2
BOC
26%
26%
49%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
BOC
3 - 0
HUR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
OLI
1 - 0
BOC
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1961 |
OLI
1 - 2
PEÑ
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
OLI
63%
18%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
OLI
1 - 2
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
COL
2 - 5
OLI
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |