Boca Juniors vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
BOC
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
MWA
0 - 2
BOC
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 0
CAU
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
HUR
0 - 2
BOC
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
BOC
1 - 0
TAL
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
CAU
0 - 2
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 4
HUR
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
TAL
0 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |