Boca Juniors vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
SLO
1 - 2
BOC
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 0
CAU
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SAR
1 - 2
BOC
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
BOC
3 - 2
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
HUR
0 - 2
BOC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 2
TAL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 0
NOB
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
NOB
3 - 0
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
FER
0 - 0
NOB
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1981 |
NOB
4 - 2
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |