Boca Juniors vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOC
25%
24%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
EME
1 - 2
BOC
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
BOC
1 - 1
GLP
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
COL
1 - 3
BOC
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
BOC
0 - 0
SLO
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MWA
4 - 1
CEN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
MWA
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
1 - 3
MWA
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
SWA
1 - 1
MWA
65%
19%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
PAY
3 - 0
MWA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |