Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 5-1
Boca Juniors vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BOC
2 - 3
TIG
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOC
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BOC
1 - 1
IND
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
HUR
0 - 3
BOC
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
BOC
2 - 2
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 0
LIG
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 1
LIG
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 1
CUE
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 1
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |