Boca Juniors vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1977 |
BOC
4 - 1
QUI
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
GLP
1 - 4
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
BOC
3 - 1
TEM
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1977 |
LIB
2 - 1
EVE
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
LIB
3 - 0
UCH
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
OLI
0 - 0
LIB
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
EVE
1 - 3
LIB
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
UCH
1 - 0
LIB
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |