Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Boca Juniors vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 1
NOB
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2005 |
SCI
1 - 0
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 1
TFE
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 1
PPE
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 1
SCI
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
SCI
3 - 2
COT
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
GOI
0 - 1
SCI
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |