Boca Juniors vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1981 |
IRV
1 - 2
BOC
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
BOC
4 - 1
TAL
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 3
ARG
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SLM
1 - 0
BOC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
BOC
0 - 0
TAL
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
INS
1 - 1
RIV
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1980 |
IND
5 - 1
INS
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
INS
2 - 1
IND
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SLO
2 - 2
INS
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
INS
2 - 1
RIV
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |