Boca Juniors vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 3
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ATT
1 - 0
BOC
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOC
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
BOC
1 - 0
CAU
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 2
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
INS
4 - 0
ATT
47%
23%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
CAU
1 - 1
INS
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
INS
2 - 0
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
TAL
2 - 1
INS
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1981 |
INS
1 - 2
IND
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |