Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SLO
3 - 0
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BOC
4 - 0
GLP
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOC
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
BOC
0 - 0
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 1
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
HUR
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
IND
1 - 2
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 3
IND
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
GLP
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 0
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |