Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
PAC
3 - 1
BOC
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
GLP
0 - 1
BOC
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
RAC
1 - 0
BOC
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 0
SPC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 1
OLI
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SLO
2 - 4
IND
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
IND
0 - 1
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 2
IND
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
IND
0 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |