Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis

Boca Juniors Independiente
85 ELO 75
1.1% Tilt 1.1%
185º General ELO ranking 194º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.9%
Boca Juniors
19.5%
Draw
12.6%
Independiente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
Boca Juniors
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
Independiente
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boca Juniors
+7%
+16%
Independiente

ELO progression

Boca Juniors
Independiente
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2003
NOB
Newell's Old Boys
1 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
30%
27%
43%
85 77 8 0
26 Oct. 2003
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Estudiantes La Plata
EST
71%
19%
10%
85 74 11 0
22 Oct. 2003
BOC
Boca Juniors
0 - 1
At. Nacional
NAC
68%
20%
12%
85 79 6 0
19 Oct. 2003
CHI
Nueva Chicago
0 - 2
Boca Juniors
BOC
24%
24%
52%
85 70 15 0
12 Oct. 2003
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
81%
13%
6%
85 66 19 0

Matches

Independiente
Independiente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2003
IND
Independiente
0 - 1
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
44%
27%
29%
75 79 4 0
26 Oct. 2003
CEN
Rosario Central
2 - 0
Independiente
IND
57%
23%
20%
76 79 3 -1
19 Oct. 2003
IND
Independiente
0 - 1
Gimnasia La Plata
GLP
50%
25%
25%
76 74 2 0
12 Oct. 2003
SLO
San Lorenzo
2 - 1
Independiente
IND
61%
22%
17%
77 82 5 -1
08 Oct. 2003
RIV
River Plate
4 - 0
Independiente
IND
69%
19%
13%
77 84 7 0